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Wrong Assumptions Casino Players Make
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Wrong Assumptions Casino Players Make
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Wrong Assumptions Casino Players Make Frank Scoblete takes
on common statements casino players assume to be true, to prove the opposite
by Frank Scoblete
In this article, I discuss assumptions held by a multitude of casino players,
many handed down by tradition and authority that are indeed false, illogical,
dangerous and dumb.
Assumption #1: The pit boss always ignores me when I want to get his attention.
On occasion, a pit boss might purposely ignore a player, if that player is obnoxious,
loud, drunk, or otherwise a ploppy. But most of the time when you think you are
being ignored, you aren’t. If that pit boss, or floorperson, is at the computers,
it probably means he or she is checking on a comp or a rating. One pit boss, one
floorperson, is in charge of many tables and they do have many responsibilities.
Chances are they don’t see you waving. When they do, they’ll usually say, “I’ll
be right with you.” In such cases, patience is a virtue. One caveat to the above.
If you are trying to get the attention of the pit boss in order to ask for a comp
-- stay seated but stop playing! Don’t risk any more money as you wait for your
comp.
Assumption #2: Dealers make a lot of money, that’s why they all wear so
much gold on their arms.
Some dealers do make a lot of money. Some dealers don’t. It all depends on which
casinos they deal in and, sometimes, what games they deal. It also depends on
what you consider a lot of money. But most dealers’ salaries are marginal at best,
sometimes not more than minimum wage. They need tips to make ends meet.
Dealers are in the “service” part of the casino industry, very much like waiters,
waitresses, bartenders, valet parkers and bellhops. As to the gold that festoons
many a wrist, finger and forearm, those are there for decorative purposes. Many
dealers realize that their hands/arms are watched carefully and they actually
take pride in adorning these. I’ve noticed female dealers will often polish their
nails in truly creative ways. Male dealers will have interesting rings. Often
these displays are sources for conversation. Since I can’t tell legitimate from
faux, I have no idea if all that gold I see is real gold or fool’s gold.
Assumption #3: If a craps table has been hot it will continue to be hot.
If it’s cold, it will continue to be cold.
Many casino players, not just craps players, look for trends and then bet with
or against the trend. It is an old law of gambling that the “dice have no memory.”
That is, what happened on the last decision has no influence on what will happen
on the next decision. That is absolutely true as long as the game is random and
no one is controlling the outcome through physical means. Craps is an independent-trial
game and what happens now will have no effect on what happens next.
However, there is some truth to the assumption that while the dice might not have
a memory, certain shooters do. These shooters, called rhythmic rollers, might
be able to influence the game by the way they physically roll the dice thereby
increasing the likelihood of some numbers appearing and decreasing the likelihood
of other numbers appearing. So here’s an instance where an assumption is false
except if it’s true.
Assumption #4: Professional blackjack and video poker players make millions
every year.
The number one video poker expert in the world is on record as stating he makes
about $50,000 per year playing. That’s about 500 hands per hour at a one dollar
VP game at five dollars a pop at a machine that returns 101 percent of all the
money played, playing eight hours a day for five days a week for 50 weeks a year.
There’s no medical, no dental, and no pay if you don’t play and, horrors, no pay
many days and weeks even if you do play! And he’s the best, mind you, the very
best. The best blackjack pro I ever met was the late PK who played five nights
a week 52 weeks a year.
He earned between $20,000 and $30,000 per year playing blackjack. He had to supplement
his blackjack income with a job in a bookstore. He was the best, mind you, the
very best at what he did. For most mortals the sky is not the limit on VP or blackjack
winnings, the ceiling of a typical lower middle-class house is. However, for the
recreational player who has no illusions about being a “professional,” it is always
better to play with an edge over the casino than to play without an edge. Obviously,
you want to play the very best games that excite you and play them in the very
best way. But millions? I’m afraid it ain’t in the cards for the majority of players.
Assumption #5: The casino comping formula is an exact science and is written
in stone.
There is a little truth to this assumption and a big untruth to it. Slot clubs
for small and medium players are an almost an exact science. You play the requisite
number of coins to get the requisite number of points and you get the requisite
number of buffets or show tickets or discounts to rooms. However, for bigger slot
players (dollars and up) and for table-game players, the comping policies are
guidelines.
If the guideline says that a $150 player who plays four hours per day gets RFB
(the highest level of comps) and Mr. Jones, a very good customer of Luckland Casino,
happens to only play three hours one evening, do you think the host is going to
say: “Sorry, Mr. Jones, I know you’ve dumped tens of thousands here at Luckland,
but tonight you can have the coffee shop, not the gourmet room, because you didn’t
play the four hours.” More than just a rating will often go into what an individual
on the high end might get. Such factors as the number of good players the individual
brings with him or her would be considered; how often the person comes to the
casino, and past history.
Remember that comps are inducements to play and stay at a certain place and would
any casino in its right mind say to Mr. Jones: “Buzz off, we don’t want your $150
per decision, go somewhere else.” I doubt it.
Assumption #6: Intelligent people don’t play the slots.
I used to buy into this one big time. Then I started to do research into the slot
machines for my book and found I was completely wrong. In fact, not only are many
slot players intelligent, some are actually brilliant. Slot players are a representative
cross section of America, not the bottom of the U.S. barrel. So why do they play
the one-armed bandits when they know the games are impossible to beat in the long
run and often carry house edges that are much greater than the table games? The
usual answer is that slots are relaxing. You don’t have any pressure to play a
certain way at a certain speed.
Often people with jobs that cause them to deal with the public will say, “I love
to play the slots because I don’t have to deal with people.” Others state: “I
play because it is the only chance you have for a big win with a small investment.”
Whatever the individual reason a person gives for playing the machines, one thing
is certain across the country -- slots are king! From Vegas, where they represent
almost 65 percent of the gross revenue to Mississippi where they represent over
85 percent, more people pull those handles and press those buttons than roll them
bones at craps and tap for hits at blackjack.
Assumption #7: If you tip the dealers at blackjack, they’ll give you better
cards.
If you were a dealer and you could control what cards came out of a deck or shoe
would you be hustling tips from the likes of you? Or would you tell your relatives
and friends to come to the casino tonight to clean up! Of course, if you had larceny
in your heart, every relative you have (that you liked) and every friend, would
belly up to your table and bet the table max until they wiped out the casino,
or until the casino fired you.
Unfortunately (or fortunately), dealers can’t control what happens to the cards.
In the bad old days of bent-nosed casino owners and baseball-bat justice, some
of the unscrupulous casinos hired card mechanics who could indeed control what
came out the deck. Those days are done. Very few dealers today have an interest
in cards per se. They are just doing their jobs. Luck controls the fall of the
cards. Tips just control the possibility of a smile or a “thank you” from an appreciative
dealer.
Assumption #8: Senior citizens are spending their social security money
on gambling and not saving it. This is not so, since most seniors have
budgeted their money wisely. But if the assumption were correct, that seniors
are taking some, part or all of their social security checks and blowing it in
the casinos instead of saving it for their offsprings’ inheritance ...so what?
Aren’t you tired of the busybodies in the government and the press telling us
what to do with our money?
We have begun to treat our senior citizens not as the generation that survived
the Depression, not as the generation that defeated Hitler and Mussolini, not
as the generation that faced down Communism, but as this melange of drooling idiots
who shouldn’t be allowed to make decisions for themselves.
Assumption #9: Most dealers are problem gamblers.
Most dealers don’t gamble at all. The percentage that do usually do so only when
friends or relatives come to town. The percentage of problem gamblers among dealers
is probably what it is in the general population -- minuscule.
Assumption #10: Progressive jackpots are programmed to hit on weekends
and not midweek.
More money is won, and lost, on slot machines during the weekend than during any
similar time span during the week. In fact, more progressives, big and small,
are probably hit during the weekend than at any time during the week.
But it has nothing to do with the programming of the machines. It has more to
do with a very simple fact: More people go to casinos during the weekends and
more people in the casinos means more spins of those reels, and more spins equal
more jackpot winners.
Frank Scoblete
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